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Club World Cup 2025 Odds Preview: Favorites vs. Underdogs

Brad Barkshaw June 11, 2025 4 min read
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The 2025 FIFA Club World Cup marks a monumental shift in international club football, transforming from an annual, smaller competition into a mega-event held once every four years.

Hosted in the United States, this revamped tournament will, for the first time, feature an expanded field of 32 clubs, bringing together elite teams from every continent.

With a staggering $1 billion prize pool, the stakes have been significantly raised, aiming to elevate the tournament’s prestige to one of the most coveted titles in global soccer.

This expanded format promises a thrilling display of talent, pitting established favorites against potential underdogs in a battle for supremacy.

Table of Contents

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  • The Transformed Tournament Landscape
  • European Hegemony: The Leading Contenders
  • Paris Saint-Germain’s Formidable Momentum
  • Real Madrid’s Enduring Legacy
  • Global Representation: Other Key Contenders
  • Key Players Poised to Make an Impact
  • The Underdog Factor: Potential Surprises
  • Navigating the Tournament Dynamics

The Transformed Tournament Landscape

The 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, officially known as FIFA Club World Cup 25, replaces the FIFA Confederations Cup in the football calendar. It will run from June 14 to July 13, with the opening game kicking off on June 14 at 8 PM EDT.

This unprecedented 32-team lineup represents a global assembly of footballing powerhouses, with specific slot allocations: UEFA boasts 12 spots, CONMEBOL has 6, while AFC, CAF, and CONCACAF each have 4. OFC and the host nation each receive one spot, with Inter Miami CF benefiting from the host allocation in this edition.

The substantial prize fund includes $525 million set aside for participation, guaranteeing every club a share, with an additional $475 million awarded based on performance throughout the tournament.

European Hegemony: The Leading Contenders

Historically, European clubs have dominated the Club World Cup, winning 16 of the 20 tournaments played to date. Bookmakers consequently heavily favor teams from the UEFA Confederation to lift the trophy in the revamped edition.

Real Madrid stands as the top favorite with odds of +380. The Spanish giants have a remarkable five Club World Cup titles and a record 15 UEFA Champions League victories, showcasing their ability to perform on the global stage.

According to the latest FanDuel soccer odds, Manchester City trails closely with odds of +470, while Bayern Munich, with two previous titles, is listed at +600. Paris Saint-Germain and Inter Milan are both at +1000, reflecting their formidable status.

PSG, in particular, enters the tournament in exceptional form, having won all four trophies they competed for in their most successful season ever.

Paris Saint-Germain’s Formidable Momentum

Paris Saint-Germain arrives at the tournament having completed an unprecedented season, securing the Ligue 1 title, French Cup, French Champions Trophy, and a comprehensive 5-0 victory over Inter Milan in the Champions League final.

Their impressive run, coupled with a potent attacking trio of Ousmane Dembélé, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, and Bradley Barcola, positions them as the in-form team to watch. This remarkable momentum makes them a serious threat for their first-ever Club World Cup title.

Real Madrid’s Enduring Legacy

Real Madrid’s unparalleled success in this competition, coupled with their record 15 UEFA Champions League titles, firmly establishes them as perennial contenders. Despite a relatively underwhelming domestic campaign this season, they are poised to make a statement under new manager Xabi Alonso.

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The addition of Kylian Mbappé, who had a record-breaking debut season with the club, significantly enhances their attacking prowess and makes them a formidable force.

Global Representation: Other Key Contenders

Beyond Europe, several strong teams from other confederations will compete for the title. From CONMEBOL, Brazilian powerhouses like Flamengo (+3300), Fluminense, Botafogo (+2800), and Palmeiras (+2600) join the Argentine duo of River Plate and Boca Juniors.

AFC is represented by Al-Hilal (+5000), Urawa Red Diamonds, Al Ain, and Ulsan HD, with Al-Hilal bolstered by former European stars like Rúben Neves and Aleksandar Mitrović. CAF’s contenders include Al Ahly, Wydad, Esperance de Tunis, and South African side Mamelodi Sundowns.

CONCACAF sees Monterrey, Seattle Sounders, Pachuca (+15000), and the winner of the Club America/Los Angeles FC play-in.

As the host team, Inter Miami CF, featuring Lionel Messi (+3800), also participates, drawing significant global attention despite their struggles.

Key Players Poised to Make an Impact

The tournament will showcase a plethora of superstars capable of deciding critical matches.

  • Kylian Mbappé: Following his record-breaking debut season for Real Madrid, he is undoubtedly a standout figure.
  • Rodri: Manchester City’s hopes are significantly boosted by his return; he is the 2024 Ballon d’Or winner and 2023 Club World Cup Player of the Tournament.
  • Ousmane Dembélé, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola: PSG’s attacking trio, currently in formidable form and expected to deliver decisive performances.
  • Estevão Willian: Chelsea’s teenage sensation, recently joined from Palmeiras, is an exciting prospect to watch.
  • Lionel Messi: Despite Inter Miami’s underdog status, Messi ensures a global spotlight. He has recently been involved in eight of his team’s nine goals in two MLS games, demonstrating his continued impact.

The Underdog Factor: Potential Surprises

While the odds heavily favor European teams, the expanded format creates opportunities for unexpected performances. Outside of the European giants, Liga MX side Pachuca, winners of the 2024 Concacaf Champions Cup, and Brazilian powerhouse Botafogo, reigning Brasileirão Série A and Copa Libertadores champions, could turn heads.

Saudi Pro League team Al-Hilal, strengthened by a host of former European stars, is considered a serious threat. Even Inter Miami, as the host team with Lionel Messi, could provide moments of magic, despite not being considered a serious contender for the overall title.

The unpredictable nature of cup tournaments, especially with a 32-team field, means that any team performing above expectations can make a deep run.

Navigating the Tournament Dynamics

The 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, with its unprecedented scale and significant financial rewards, is set to be a captivating event.

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While European powerhouses like Real Madrid and Manchester City are the bookmakers’ clear favorites, the expanded field provides a unique platform for clubs from other confederations to showcase their talent and potentially upset the established hierarchy.

This tournament offers a compelling spectacle of global club football, where strategic depth and individual brilliance will ultimately determine who lifts the coveted trophy.

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